New York by the Numbers

Apr 20th, 2016

Strong Wins for Trump & Clinton

Super Tuesday 2

Mar 8th, 2016

Momentum Shifts to Cruz

Western Tuesday Recap

Mar 23rd, 2016

In all 4 races, the favorites win by wide margins.

GOP Convention 1st Vote produces no nominee incl. unbound delegates
7%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

GOP Convention 1st Vote 7%

CO Sen Michael Bennet to win re-election
91%
AZ Sen John McCain to win re-election
81%
FL Sen Marco Rubio to win re-election
80%
NC Sen Richard Burr to win re-election
79%
PA Sen Pat Toomey to win re-election
75%
OH Sen Rob Portman to win re-election
72%
NH Sen Kelly Ayotte to win re-election
67%
NV Democrats to retain seat being vacated by Sen Harry Reid
61%
WI Sen Rob Johnson to win re-election
14%
IL Sen Mark Kirk to win re-election
4%
1 of 10 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Bennet 91%

McCain 81%

Florida Republican 80%

Burr 79%

Tommey 75%

Portman 72%

Ayotte 67%

Nevada Democrats 61%

Johnson 14%

Kirk 4%

Odds that 3rd Party will participate in Presidential Debates
44%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

3rd Party Presidential Debates 44%

District of Columbia to be won by a Democrat
99%
Hawaii to be won by a Democrat
99%
Vermont to be won by a Democrat
99%
California to be won by a Democrat
98%
Delaware to be won by a Democrat
97%
Massachusetts to be won by a Democrat
97%
Rhode Island to be won by a Democrat
97%
Maryland to be won by a Democrat
97%
New York to be won by a Democrat
97%
Connecticut to be won by a Democrat
96%
Illinois to be won by a Democrat
96%
Minnesota to be won by a Democrat
95%
Oregon to be won by a Democrat
94%
Maine to be won by a Democrat
94%
New Jersey to be won by a Democrat
93%
Washington to be won by a Democrat
93%
Pennsylvannia to be won by a Democrat
62%
1 of 17 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

District of Columbia 99%

Hawaii 99%

Vermont 99%

California 98%

Delaware 97%

Massachusetts 97%

Rhode Island 97%

Maryland 97%

New York 97%

Connecticut 96%

Illinois 96%

Minnesota 95%

Oregon 94%

Maine 94%

New Jersey 93%

Washington 93%

Pennsylvannia 62%

Louisiana to be won by a Republican
99%
Alabama to be won by a Republican
99%
Texas to be won by a Republican
99%
Idaho to be won by a Republican
99%
North Dakota to be won by a Republican
99%
Mississippi to be won by a Republican
99%
West Virginia to be won by a Republican
99%
Kentucky to be won by a Republican
98%
South Dakota to be won by a Republican
98%
Oklahoma to be won by a Republican
98%
Alaska to be won by a Republican
97%
South Carolina to be won by a Republican
97%
Nebraska to be won by a Republican
96%
Tennessee to be won by a Republican
96%
Kansas to be won by a Republican
96%
Wyoming to be won by a Republican
96%
Montana to be won by a Republican
96%
Arkansas to be won by a Republican
95%
Indiana to be won by a Republican
92%
Utah to be won by a Republican
92%
Georgia to be won by a Republican
87%
Arizona to be won by a Republican
79%
1 of 22 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Louisiana 99%

Alabama 99%

Texas 99%

Idaho 99%

North Dakota 99%

Mississippi 99%

West Virginia 99%

Kentucky 98%

South Dakota 98%

Oklahoma 98%

Alaska 97%

South Carolina 97%

Nebraska 96%

Tennessee 96%

Kansas 96%

Wyoming 96%

Montana 96%

Arkansas 95%

Indiana 92%

Utah 92%

Georgia 87%

Arizona 79%

New Mexico to be won by a Democrat
97%
Wisconsin to be won by a Democrat
92%
Colorado to be won by a Democrat
90%
Nevada to be won by a Democrat
80%
Michigan to be won by a Democrat
79%
Virginia to be won by a Democrat
75%
Iowa to be won by a Democrat
69%
New Hampshire to be won by a Democrat
65%
Florida to be won by a Democrat
61%
Ohio to be won by a Democrat
60%
North Carolina to be won by a Democrat
43%
Missouri to be won by a Democrat
19%
1 of 12 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

New Mexico 97%

Wisconsin 92%

Colorado 90%

Nevada 80%

Michigan 79%

Virginia 75%

Iowa 69%

New Hampshire 65%

Florida 61%

Ohio 60%

North Carolina 43%

Missouri 19%

Joe Biden to announce Democratic 2016 run
1%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Joe Biden 1%

Chris Christie to be Republican VP Nominee
40%
Tom Cotton to be Republican VP Nominee
18%
Newt Gingrich to be Republican VP Nominee
9%
Jeff Sessions to be Republican VP Nominee
8%
Tim Scott to be Republican VP Nominee
2%
Rick Perry to be Republican VP Nominee
2%
Joni Ernst to be Republican VP Nominee
2%
Sarah Palin to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Scott Walker to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Jan Brewer to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Ted Cruz to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Ben Carson to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Mary Fallin to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Bob Corker to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Marco Rubio to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Condoleezza Rice to be Republican Nominee
1%
Scott Brown to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Carly Fiorina to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Nikki Haley to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
Susana Martinez to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
John Kasich to be Republican VP Nominee
1%
1 of 21 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Chris Christie 40%

Tom Cotton 18%

Newt Gingrich 9%

Jeff Sessions 8%

Tim Scott 2%

Rick Perry 2%

Joni Ernst 2%

Sarah Palin 1%

Scott Walker 1%

Jan Brewer 1%

Ted Cruz 1%

Ben Carson 1%

Mary Fallin 1%

Bob Corker 1%

Marco Rubio 1%

Condoleezza Rice 1%

Scott Brown 1%

Carly Fiorina 1%

Nikki Haley 1%

Susana Martinez 1%

John Kasich 1%

Tim Kaine to be Democratic VP Nominee
52%
Elizabeth Warren to be Democratic VP Nominee
22%
Julian Castro to be Democratic VP Nominee
14%
Tom Perez to be Democratic VP Nominee
2%
Bernie Sanders to be Democratic VP Nominee
1%
Cory Booker to be Democratic VP Nominee
1%
Sherrod Brown to be Democratic VP Nominee
1%
1 of 7 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Tim Kaine 52%

Elizabeth Warren 22%

Julian Castro 14%

Tom Perez 2%

Bernie Sanders 1%

Cory Booker 1%

Sherrod Brown 1%

Republicans to retain Senate majority
55%
Democrats to take Senate majority
45%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Republicans 55%

Democrats 45%

Supreme Court Justice to be seated before Obama's term ends
1%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Supreme Court Justice 1%

Republicans to retain control of the House
92%
Democrats to take control of the House
8%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Republicans 92%

Democrats 8%

Hillary Clinton to be the next US President
77%
Donald Trump to be the next US President
18%
Paul Ryan to be next US President
1%
Ted Cruz to be the next US President
1%
Jeb Bush to be the next US President
1%
Joe Biden to be next US President
1%
Bernie Sanders to be the next US President
1%
Mike Bloomberg to be next US President
0%
John Kasich to be next US President
0%
Marco Rubio to be the next US President
0%
Chris Christie to be the next US President
0%
1 of 11 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Hillary Clinton 77%

Donald Trump 18%

Pail Ryan 1%

Ted Cruz 1%

Jeb Bush 1%

Joe Biden 1%

Bernie Sanders 1%

Mike Bloomberg 0%

John Kasich 0%

Marco Rubio 0%

Chris Christie 0%

Donald Trump to be Republican nominee
94%
Paul Ryan to be Republican Nominee
2%
Ted Cruz to be Republican nominee
1%
Mitt Romney to be Republican nominee
1%
Jeb Bush to be Republican nominee
1%
John Kasich to be Republican nominee
1%
George Pataki to be Republican nominee
0%
Rand Paul to be Republican nominee
0%
Carly Fiorina to be Republican nominee
0%
Rick Perry to be Republican nominee
0%
Scott Walker to be Republican nominee
0%
Chris Christie to be Republican nominee
0%
Rick Santorum to be Republican nominee
0%
Ben Carson to be Republican nominee
0%
Lindsey Graham to be Republican nominee
0%
Bobby Jindal to be Republican nominee
0%
Marco Rubio to be Republican nominee
0%
Sarah Palin to be Republican Nominee
0%
John Bolton to be Republican nominee
0%
Mike Huckabee to be Reublican nominee
0%
1 of 20 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Donald Trump 94%

Paul Ryan 2%

Ted Cruz 1%

Mitt Romney 1%

Jeb Bush 1%

John Kasich 1%

George Pataki 0%

Rand Paul 0%

Carly Fiorina 0%

Rick Perry 0%

Scott Walker 0%

Chris Christie 0%

Rick Santorum 0%

Ben Carson 0%

Lindsey Graham 0%

Bobby Jindal 0%

Marco Rubio 0%

Sarah Palin 0%

John Bolton 0%

Mike Huckabee 0%

Democrats to win Presidency
75%
Republicans to win Presidency
25%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Democrats 75%

Republicans 25%

Hillary Clinton to be Democratic nominee
97%
Joe Biden to be Democratic nominee
3%
Bernie Sanders to be Democratic nominee
1%
Martin O'Malley to be Democratic nominee
0%
Elizabeth Warren to be Democratic nominee
0%
Lincoln Chafee to be Democratic nominee
0%
Jim Webb to be Democratic nominee
0%
1 of 7 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Hillary Clinton 97%

Joe Biden 3%

Bernie Sanders 1%

Martin O'Malley 0%

Elizabeth Warren 0%

Lincoln Chafee 0%

Jim Webb 0%