New York by the Numbers

Apr 20th, 2016

Strong Wins for Trump & Clinton

Super Tuesday 2

Mar 8th, 2016

Momentum Shifts to Cruz

Western Tuesday Recap

Mar 23rd, 2016

In all 4 races, the favorites win by wide margins.

Clinton to receive at least 200 Electoral Votes
99%
Clinton to receive at least 250 Electoral Votes
91%
Clinton to receive at least 300 Electoral Votes
47%
Clinton to receive at least 350 Electoral Votes
2%
1 of 4 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Clinton 200 EV or more 99%

Clinton 250 EV or more 91%

Clinton 300 EV or more 47%

Clinton 350 EV or more 2%

Trump to Dropout of US Presidential Race
3%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Trump to Dropout 3%

District of Columbia to be won by a Democrat
99%
Hawaii to be won by a Democrat
99%
Vermont to be won by a Democrat
99%
Massachusetts to be won by a Democrat
98%
Delaware to be won by a Democrat
98%
Illinois to be won by a Democrat
98%
California to be won by a Democrat
98%
Maryland to be won by a Democrat
98%
New York to be won by a Democrat
97%
Oregon to be won by a Democrat
97%
Connecticut to be won by a Democrat
96%
Minnesota to be won by a Democrat
96%
Washington to be won by a Democrat
95%
New Jersey to be won by a Democrat
93%
Rhode Island to be won by a Democrat
92%
Maine to be won by a Democrat
91%
Pennsylvannia to be won by a Democrat
70%
1 of 17 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

District of Columbia 99%

Hawaii 99%

Vermont 99%

Massachusetts 98%

Delaware 98%

Illinois 98%

California 98%

Maryland 98%

New York 97%

Oregon 97%

Connecticut 96%

Minnesota 96%

Washington 95%

New Jersey 93%

Rhode Island 92%

Maine 91%

Pennsylvannia 70%

New Mexico to be won by a Democrat
98%
Colorado to be won by a Democrat
87%
Michigan to be won by a Democrat
85%
Wisconsin to be won by a Democrat
84%
Virginia to be won by a Democrat
82%
New Hampshire to be won by a Democrat
73%
Nevada to be won by a Democrat
53%
Florida to be won by a Democrat
41%
Ohio to be won by a Democrat
35%
Iowa to be won by a Democrat
28%
North Carolina to be won by a Democrat
28%
Missouri to be won by a Democrat
8%
1 of 12 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

New Mexico 98%

Colorado 87%

Michigan 85%

Wisconsin 84%

Virginia 82%

New Hampshire 73%

Nevada 53%

Florida 41%

Ohio 35%

Iowa 28%

North Carolina 28%

Missouri 8%

Joe Biden to announce Democratic 2016 run
2%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Joe Biden 2%

Jill Stein to receive 5% or more of the Popular Vote
2%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

5 Percent or More 2%

OH Sen Rob Portman to win re-election
99%
AZ Sen John McCain to win re-election
96%
FL Sen Marco Rubio to win re-election
96%
MO Sen Roy Blunt to win re-election
94%
NC Sen Richard Burr to win re-election
93%
CO Sen Michael Bennet to win re-election
85%
NH Sen Kelly Ayotte to win re-election
83%
PA Sen Pat Toomey to win re-election
69%
IN Evan Bayh to win election
55%
NV Democrats to retain seat being vacated by Sen Harry Reid
30%
WI Sen Ron Johnson to win re-election
4%
IL Sen Mark Kirk to win re-election
3%
1 of 12 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Portman 99%

McCain 96%

Florida Republican 96%

Blunt 94%

Burr 93%

Bennet 85%

Ayotte 83%

Tommey 69%

Bayh 55%

Nevada Democrats 30%

Johnson 4%

Kirk 3%

Gary Johnson to receive 5% or more of the Popular Vote
91%
Gary Johnson to receive 10% or more of the Popular Vote
4%
Gary Johnson to receive 15% or more of the Popular Vote
1%
1 of 3 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

5 percent or more 91%

10 percent or more 4%

15 percent or more 1%

Montana to be won by a Republican
99%
Alabama to be won by a Republican
99%
West Virginia to be won by a Republican
99%
Arkansas to be won by a Republican
99%
Utah to be won by a Republican
99%
Idaho to be won by a Republican
99%
Indiana to be won by a Republican
99%
Kansas to be won by a Republican
99%
Kentucky to be won by a Republican
99%
Louisiana to be won by a Republican
99%
Mississippi to be won by a Republican
99%
Alaska to be won by a Republican
99%
Texas to be won by a Republican
99%
North Dakota to be won by a Republican
99%
Oklahoma to be won by a Republican
99%
South Carolina to be won by a Republican
99%
South Dakota to be won by a Republican
99%
Nebraska to be won by a Republican
98%
Wyoming to be won by a Republican
98%
Tennessee to be won by a Republican
96%
Georgia to be won by a Republican
93%
Arizona to be won by a Republican
90%
1 of 22 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Montana 99%

Alabama 99%

West Virginia 99%

Arkansas 99%

Utah 99%

Idaho 99%

Indiana 99%

Kansas 99%

Kentucky 99%

Louisiana 99%

Mississippi 99%

Alaska 99%

Texas 99%

North Dakota 99%

Oklahoma 99%

South Carolina 99%

South Dakota 99%

Nebraska 98%

Wyoming 98%

Tennessee 96%

Georgia 93%

Arizona 90%

Trump to receive at least 200 Electoral Votes
90%
Trump to receive at least 250 Electoral Votes
46%
Trump to receive at least 300 Electoral Votes
13%
Trump to receive at least 350 Electoral Votes
1%
1 of 4 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Trump 200 EV or more 90%

Trump 250 EV or more 46%

Trump 300 EV or more 13%

Trump 350 EV or more 1%

Odds that 3rd Party will participate in Presidential Debates
1%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

3rd Party Presidential Debates 1%

Republicans to retain control of the House
98%
Democrats to take control of the House
2%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Republicans 98%

Democrats 2%

Republicans to retain Senate majority
73%
Democrats to take Senate majority
27%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Republicans 73%

Democrats 27%

Supreme Court Justice to be seated before Obama's term ends
1%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Supreme Court Justice 1%

Hillary Clinton to be the next US President
70%
Donald Trump to be the next US President
32%
Paul Ryan to be next US President
0%
Ted Cruz to be the next US President
0%
Jeb Bush to be the next US President
0%
Marco Rubio to be the next US President
0%
Bernie Sanders to be the next US President
0%
Mike Bloomberg to be next US President
0%
John Kasich to be next US President
0%
Joe Biden to be next US President
0%
Chris Christie to be the next US President
0%
1 of 11 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Hillary Clinton 70%

Donald Trump 32%

Paul Ryan 0%

Ted Cruz 0%

Jeb Bush 0%

Marco Rubio 0%

Bernie Sanders 0%

Mike Bloomberg 0%

John Kasich 0%

Joe Biden 0%

Chris Christie 0%

Democrats to win Presidency
70%
Republicans to win Presidency
31%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Democrats 70%

Republicans 31%