New York by the Numbers

Apr 20th, 2016

Strong Wins for Trump & Clinton

Super Tuesday 2

Mar 8th, 2016

Momentum Shifts to Cruz

Western Tuesday Recap

Mar 23rd, 2016

In all 4 races, the favorites win by wide margins.

Trump to receive at least 200 Electoral Votes
41%
Trump to receive at least 250 Electoral Votes
22%
Trump to receive at least 300 Electoral Votes
6%
Trump to receive at least 350 Electoral Votes
1%
1 of 4 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Trump 200 EV or more 41%

Trump 250 EV or more 22%

Trump 300 EV or more 6%

Trump 350 EV or more 1%

Trump to Dropout of US Presidential Race
6%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Trump to Dropout 6%

Jill Stein to receive 5% or more of the Popular Vote
6%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

5 Percent or More 6%

OH Sen Rob Portman to win re-election
92%
CO Sen Michael Bennet to win re-election
88%
AZ Sen John McCain to win re-election
82%
FL Sen Marco Rubio to win re-election
79%
MO Sen Roy Blunt to win re-election
73%
NC Sen Richard Burr to win re-election
67%
NH Sen Kelly Ayotte to win re-election
65%
PA Sen Pat Toomey to win re-election
57%
IN Evan Bayh to win election
52%
NV Democrats to retain seat being vacated by Sen Harry Reid
49%
WI Sen Ron Johnson to win re-election
10%
IL Sen Mark Kirk to win re-election
5%
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ALL CONTRACTS

Portman 92%

Bennet 88%

McCain 82%

Florida Republican 79%

Blunt 73%

Burr 67%

Ayotte 65%

Tommey 57%

Bayh 52%

Nevada Democrats 49%

Johnson 10%

Kirk 5%

New Mexico to be won by a Democrat
97%
Wisconsin to be won by a Democrat
88%
Michigan to be won by a Democrat
88%
Virginia to be won by a Democrat
85%
Colorado to be won by a Democrat
85%
New Hampshire to be won by a Democrat
78%
Florida to be won by a Democrat
68%
Ohio to be won by a Democrat
63%
Nevada to be won by a Democrat
60%
Iowa to be won by a Democrat
58%
North Carolina to be won by a Democrat
50%
Missouri to be won by a Democrat
22%
1 of 12 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

New Mexico 97%

Wisconsin 88%

Michigan 88%

Virginia 85%

Colorado 85%

New Hampshire 78%

Florida 68%

Ohio 63%

Nevada 60%

Iowa 58%

North Carolina 50%

Missouri 22%

Joe Biden to announce Democratic 2016 run
1%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Joe Biden 1%

Gary Johnson to receive 5% or more of the Popular Vote
95%
Gary Johnson to receive 10% or more of the Popular Vote
15%
Gary Johnson to receive 15% or more of the Popular Vote
2%
1 of 3 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

5 percent or more 95%

10 percent or more 15%

15 percent or more 2%

District of Columbia to be won by a Democrat
99%
Hawaii to be won by a Democrat
99%
Vermont to be won by a Democrat
99%
California to be won by a Democrat
98%
Delaware to be won by a Democrat
97%
Illinois to be won by a Democrat
97%
Massachusetts to be won by a Democrat
97%
Maryland to be won by a Democrat
97%
Rhode Island to be won by a Democrat
97%
New York to be won by a Democrat
97%
New Jersey to be won by a Democrat
96%
Connecticut to be won by a Democrat
96%
Minnesota to be won by a Democrat
95%
Oregon to be won by a Democrat
94%
Washington to be won by a Democrat
94%
Maine to be won by a Democrat
89%
Pennsylvannia to be won by a Democrat
67%
1 of 17 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

District of Columbia 99%

Hawaii 99%

Vermont 99%

California 98%

Delaware 97%

Illinois 97%

Massachusetts 97%

Maryland 97%

Rhode Island 97%

New York 97%

New Jersey 96%

Connecticut 96%

Minnesota 95%

Oregon 94%

Washington 94%

Maine 89%

Pennsylvannia 67%

Louisiana to be won by a Republican
99%
Alabama to be won by a Republican
99%
Texas to be won by a Republican
99%
Idaho to be won by a Republican
99%
South Dakota to be won by a Republican
99%
North Dakota to be won by a Republican
99%
Mississippi to be won by a Republican
99%
West Virginia to be won by a Republican
99%
South Carolina to be won by a Republican
99%
Kentucky to be won by a Republican
98%
Nebraska to be won by a Republican
98%
Kansas to be won by a Republican
98%
Oklahoma to be won by a Republican
98%
Alaska to be won by a Republican
97%
Tennessee to be won by a Republican
96%
Wyoming to be won by a Republican
96%
Arkansas to be won by a Republican
95%
Indiana to be won by a Republican
94%
Utah to be won by a Republican
94%
Montana to be won by a Republican
94%
Georgia to be won by a Republican
79%
Arizona to be won by a Republican
75%
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ALL CONTRACTS

Louisiana 99%

Alabama 99%

Texas 99%

Idaho 99%

South Dakota 99%

North Dakota 99%

Mississippi 99%

West Virginia 99%

South Carolina 99%

Kentucky 98%

Nebraska 98%

Kansas 98%

Oklahoma 98%

Alaska 97%

Tennessee 96%

Wyoming 96%

Arkansas 95%

Indiana 94%

Utah 94%

Montana 94%

Georgia 79%

Arizona 75%

Clinton to receive at least 200 Electoral Votes
99%
Clinton to receive at least 250 Electoral Votes
94%
Clinton to receive at least 300 Electoral Votes
88%
Clinton to receive at least 350 Electoral Votes
32%
1 of 4 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Clinton 200 EV or more 99%

Clinton 250 EV or more 94%

Clinton 300 EV or more 88%

Clinton 350 EV or more 32%

Odds that 3rd Party will participate in Presidential Debates
8%
1 of 1 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

3rd Party Presidential Debates 8%

Supreme Court Justice to be seated before Obama's term ends
1%
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ALL CONTRACTS

Supreme Court Justice 1%

Democrats to take Senate majority
63%
Republicans to retain Senate majority
38%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Democrats 63%

Republicans 38%

Republicans to retain control of the House
95%
Democrats to take control of the House
5%
1 of 2 contracts
ALL CONTRACTS

Republicans 95%

Democrats 5%

Hillary Clinton to be the next US President
81%
Donald Trump to be the next US President
16%
Paul Ryan to be next US President
1%
Ted Cruz to be the next US President
1%
Jeb Bush to be the next US President
1%
Joe Biden to be next US President
1%
Bernie Sanders to be the next US President
1%
Mike Bloomberg to be next US President
0%
John Kasich to be next US President
0%
Marco Rubio to be the next US President
0%
Chris Christie to be the next US President
0%
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Hillary Clinton 81%

Donald Trump 16%

Paul Ryan 1%

Ted Cruz 1%

Jeb Bush 1%

Joe Biden 1%

Bernie Sanders 1%

Mike Bloomberg 0%

John Kasich 0%

Marco Rubio 0%

Chris Christie 0%

Democrats to win Presidency
81%
Republicans to win Presidency
19%
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ALL CONTRACTS

Democrats 81%

Republicans 19%